'The Economist' describes its methods and acknowledges the other polling results. In fact, the article states that, per its model, it assigned an 83% probability of President Biden winning at this stage in the 2020 campaign. Sorry, I do not think one should put his or her head in the sand on this one. This is going to be an razor-thin raβ¦
'The Economist' describes its methods and acknowledges the other polling results. In fact, the article states that, per its model, it assigned an 83% probability of President Biden winning at this stage in the 2020 campaign. Sorry, I do not think one should put his or her head in the sand on this one. This is going to be an razor-thin race. The up-shot of 'The Economist', for me at least, is that we need to get cracking on stratcomms.
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Personally, without the aid of statistics and just going on my often inaccurate gut, President Biden will be re-elected because Mr Kennedy will siphon off more votes from Trump than President Biden as blue-collar Trump supporters, mostly Reagan Democrats, migrate toward Mr Kennedy's mix of iconoclasm and traditional welfare state politics. That is where messaging from neutral sounding entities would be helpful.
'The Economist' describes its methods and acknowledges the other polling results. In fact, the article states that, per its model, it assigned an 83% probability of President Biden winning at this stage in the 2020 campaign. Sorry, I do not think one should put his or her head in the sand on this one. This is going to be an razor-thin race. The up-shot of 'The Economist', for me at least, is that we need to get cracking on stratcomms.
π€
Personally, without the aid of statistics and just going on my often inaccurate gut, President Biden will be re-elected because Mr Kennedy will siphon off more votes from Trump than President Biden as blue-collar Trump supporters, mostly Reagan Democrats, migrate toward Mr Kennedy's mix of iconoclasm and traditional welfare state politics. That is where messaging from neutral sounding entities would be helpful.
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LAST PARAGRAPH DELETED; too hostile on my part.