According to Theodore Soares, in the 2016 Massachusetts Republican primary, with a big field, the exit polls fit the declared results within 1 percent.
Beyond that is the pattern of discrepancies in Biden's favor throughout the 2020 primaries, with one single exception: Tennessee.
According to Theodore Soares, in the 2016 Massachusetts Republican primary, with a big field, the exit polls fit the declared results within 1 percent.
Beyond that is the pattern of discrepancies in Biden's favor throughout the 2020 primaries, with one single exception: Tennessee.
I can predict the roll of an honest die, and one time in six I'll be *precisely right* -- and *half* the time I'll be off by no more than one. In any event, the Soares reference is not very convincing; his web site recounts as his "Qualifications" that he worked with someone crunching election numbers and thereafter took some "classes in higher mathematics" and *poof!* he was in business as an election data analyst. Those and his peculiar analysis of the Mass Dem Primary in 2020 are not enough to convince me that the Dem establishment's methods of "stealing" the nomination for The Present Guy included cooking the vote totals via computer. And as I remember it, it was not a slim margin of victory in Mass (whose electoral votes were going to go to the D whoever he turned out to be), but the resounding votes of the Black women of SoCar (who were no way going to deliver any electoral votes), that were made to require that good ol' work-across-the-aisle Joe must be the nominee.
According to Theodore Soares, in the 2016 Massachusetts Republican primary, with a big field, the exit polls fit the declared results within 1 percent.
Beyond that is the pattern of discrepancies in Biden's favor throughout the 2020 primaries, with one single exception: Tennessee.
I can predict the roll of an honest die, and one time in six I'll be *precisely right* -- and *half* the time I'll be off by no more than one. In any event, the Soares reference is not very convincing; his web site recounts as his "Qualifications" that he worked with someone crunching election numbers and thereafter took some "classes in higher mathematics" and *poof!* he was in business as an election data analyst. Those and his peculiar analysis of the Mass Dem Primary in 2020 are not enough to convince me that the Dem establishment's methods of "stealing" the nomination for The Present Guy included cooking the vote totals via computer. And as I remember it, it was not a slim margin of victory in Mass (whose electoral votes were going to go to the D whoever he turned out to be), but the resounding votes of the Black women of SoCar (who were no way going to deliver any electoral votes), that were made to require that good ol' work-across-the-aisle Joe must be the nominee.
Nice spin.