And today, 538 announced that "The fundamentals of the election favor the Biden campaign." The statistical analysis now gives Biden a 53-47 lead over Trump.
And today, 538 announced that "The fundamentals of the election favor the Biden campaign." The statistical analysis now gives Biden a 53-47 lead over Trump.
There is no Republican Party. It is the Party of Trump. Hopefully, Convicted Felon Donald J Trump's dementia will shut him up because even if he loses, he will be in the news way more than Biden.
I am so sorry Jeri. My mother died from dementia 8 years ago and she never was a ranting lunatic. Although actually the first sign might have been raving over why they are the "Democratic" party instead of the "Democrat" party.
He also said some funny things. I once asked why he was watching a stupid tv show. He said IтАЩm waiting for her breast to fall out of that blouse. Well, shut my mouth. He did have a sense of humorтАж
Your reminder that every single incumbent President since at least 1900 who has had no major primary challenge or third-party challenge has won reelection, except Hoover and tfg. Incumbent + united party + passable economy = win. Every time.
No room for complacency, but the doomsaying is kinda ignoring all of history here. Confidence, people!
Will, I agree that Biden should, and will, win. As I've stated before though, the Convicted Felon is running for one reason alone: to save himself from prison. His talk of saving America is pure BS. However, his campaign is doing a poor job of expanding his base by winning over independents and undecided voters. He told Haley voters he didn't need them. He is way behind iin setting up campaign offices in several swing states. This is not a winning strategy; it is inept.
So, I ask: What does he have up his sleeve? Is some state actor such as Putin planning to hack electonic voting systems to change the counts? Will some of the secretaries of state who are allied with him be able to in effect not abide by the popular vote? Are there plans in place to disrupt voting in key precincts (bomb threats, swatting, etc) to diminish turnout in districts he may lose? Is the intent to bring chaos to the state certification process, thus sending the determination to a House vote whereby each state has a single vote unbound by the actual election results? I'd love someone to run through the possible ways he could have election results overturned.
You have the traitorous con Mike Johnson as Speaker. And the rethugs desperately trying to hold on to their idiot majority. And Israel and China and Saudi Arabia and Russia all betting on drumpf return.
And then there's the billionaire class hoping for yet more tax cuts.
You, we all have a right to be concerned. They aren't shy about their intentions to disrupt the election like they tried in 2020, 2022, and 2000, when they actually succeeded and the Supreme Court handed the election to Bush.
We didn't have all the facts like we do now. All the usual suspects were involved then as well: Roger Stone, John Roberts, Brett Kavanaugh, even Amy Coney Barrett played a role in the outcome of that election.
I live in a deep red state that swallows all the MAGA junk that is on faux news. Sigh. And, Charlie Koch lives and works here in Wichita and has purchased the local Mayor election recently. These people do not think about the end result
No, Doug, you are not just paranoid. I would not be at all surprised if some of these things happen.. Will people be prevented from voting? There are too many possibilities. I wouldn't want to give some MAGA loser any ideas.
My take is if he loses in 2024, he will announce right away that he is running for 2028 thinking he can again escape prosecution (I wrote the word "persecution" first, by mistake!). I hope and pray this trick doesn't work a second time.
Ler him. I don't think it will matter at that point. And it really didn't work the first time, apart from Garlan's sluggishness and Cannon's favorable rulings. He still has charges outstanding that he must face sooner or later. Unless he flies off to a country with no extradition treaty.
I am Canadian...and feeling the paranoia!!! He has already said that if he doesn't win, the election was rigged...The rigging is already happening I am sure!!!
Thank-you Will. I am growing thoroughly tired of pundits and others doing the journalistic equivalent of doom scrolling in a vain attempt to sound smarter and more in touch than they actually are. No one can actually be in touch when over half the picture is ignored.
Your 'going with history' is not just a Pollyanna-ish nod to positivity, it is a nod to realism. I've said it before - if you want to sound smart, break negative, if you want to be smart, look at the bigger picture. This is something HCR does very well. I'm surprised it hasn't caught on more with her readers.
Steve, I don't see any likely way that the Felon can win, but for cheating or blowing the whole thing up. I have little doubt Biden will win the popular vote outright. But the Felon is desperate, and cornered animals are the most dangerous. Let's just keep our eyes open.
Your last sentence is a most important one. S--w the polls, and remember the crock of s--t that the NYT sold voters in 2016 along with complacency about HRC having the election in the bag. We can relax after the election is settled. We know what is at stake and we don't need to be distracted by corporate media infotainment or partisan antics. Get the most important job needed done.
And today, 538 announced that "The fundamentals of the election favor the Biden campaign." The statistical analysis now gives Biden a 53-47 lead over Trump.
The meaning of this is, double your efforts!
And we thought 2020 was the existential election. 2024 is the granddaddy of existential elections.
And 2028 and 2032 and 2036 will be important, till we finally knock the stuffings out of the traitors.
I agree TC. Kamala in 2028.
There is no Republican Party. It is the Party of Trump. Hopefully, Convicted Felon Donald J Trump's dementia will shut him up because even if he loses, he will be in the news way more than Biden.
My husband had Alz for fifteen years and was never as incoherent as chump.
I am so sorry Jeri. My mother died from dementia 8 years ago and she never was a ranting lunatic. Although actually the first sign might have been raving over why they are the "Democratic" party instead of the "Democrat" party.
He also said some funny things. I once asked why he was watching a stupid tv show. He said IтАЩm waiting for her breast to fall out of that blouse. Well, shut my mouth. He did have a sense of humorтАж
Whitmer 2028
Way past my time as matter
Your reminder that every single incumbent President since at least 1900 who has had no major primary challenge or third-party challenge has won reelection, except Hoover and tfg. Incumbent + united party + passable economy = win. Every time.
No room for complacency, but the doomsaying is kinda ignoring all of history here. Confidence, people!
Will, I agree that Biden should, and will, win. As I've stated before though, the Convicted Felon is running for one reason alone: to save himself from prison. His talk of saving America is pure BS. However, his campaign is doing a poor job of expanding his base by winning over independents and undecided voters. He told Haley voters he didn't need them. He is way behind iin setting up campaign offices in several swing states. This is not a winning strategy; it is inept.
So, I ask: What does he have up his sleeve? Is some state actor such as Putin planning to hack electonic voting systems to change the counts? Will some of the secretaries of state who are allied with him be able to in effect not abide by the popular vote? Are there plans in place to disrupt voting in key precincts (bomb threats, swatting, etc) to diminish turnout in districts he may lose? Is the intent to bring chaos to the state certification process, thus sending the determination to a House vote whereby each state has a single vote unbound by the actual election results? I'd love someone to run through the possible ways he could have election results overturned.
Or am I just paranoid?
You have the traitorous con Mike Johnson as Speaker. And the rethugs desperately trying to hold on to their idiot majority. And Israel and China and Saudi Arabia and Russia all betting on drumpf return.
And then there's the billionaire class hoping for yet more tax cuts.
You are not paranoid.
After 2016 youтАЩre aware & experienced - and as they used to say - even paranoids have real enemies.
You, we all have a right to be concerned. They aren't shy about their intentions to disrupt the election like they tried in 2020, 2022, and 2000, when they actually succeeded and the Supreme Court handed the election to Bush.
2000 should have taught us plenty
We didn't have all the facts like we do now. All the usual suspects were involved then as well: Roger Stone, John Roberts, Brett Kavanaugh, even Amy Coney Barrett played a role in the outcome of that election.
https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/17/politics/bush-v-gore-barrett-kavanaugh-roberts-supreme-court/index.html
I was beyond depressed and events confirmed my fears that we would be tested like never before.
They will do what it takes, a fair election is not an option for them.
The attorney general in Kansas was a part of BannonтАЩs build the wall scam. And the guy got elected.
What's the matter with Kansas?
I live in a deep red state that swallows all the MAGA junk that is on faux news. Sigh. And, Charlie Koch lives and works here in Wichita and has purchased the local Mayor election recently. These people do not think about the end result
No, Doug, you are not just paranoid. I would not be at all surprised if some of these things happen.. Will people be prevented from voting? There are too many possibilities. I wouldn't want to give some MAGA loser any ideas.
My take is if he loses in 2024, he will announce right away that he is running for 2028 thinking he can again escape prosecution (I wrote the word "persecution" first, by mistake!). I hope and pray this trick doesn't work a second time.
Or he will again scream that the election was rigged. ЁЯди
That goes without saying !
Ler him. I don't think it will matter at that point. And it really didn't work the first time, apart from Garlan's sluggishness and Cannon's favorable rulings. He still has charges outstanding that he must face sooner or later. Unless he flies off to a country with no extradition treaty.
You arenтАЩt paranoid. Up his sleeve is getting his supporters to believe they have the duty to enforce his will on everyone else through violence.
I am Canadian...and feeling the paranoia!!! He has already said that if he doesn't win, the election was rigged...The rigging is already happening I am sure!!!
Yes -- it's all projection with that guy, Rhonda.
Thank-you Will. I am growing thoroughly tired of pundits and others doing the journalistic equivalent of doom scrolling in a vain attempt to sound smarter and more in touch than they actually are. No one can actually be in touch when over half the picture is ignored.
Your 'going with history' is not just a Pollyanna-ish nod to positivity, it is a nod to realism. I've said it before - if you want to sound smart, break negative, if you want to be smart, look at the bigger picture. This is something HCR does very well. I'm surprised it hasn't caught on more with her readers.
Steve. One word. Astute
Steve, I don't see any likely way that the Felon can win, but for cheating or blowing the whole thing up. I have little doubt Biden will win the popular vote outright. But the Felon is desperate, and cornered animals are the most dangerous. Let's just keep our eyes open.
We have never had the money, propaganda, and power behind the effort. They are united and тАЬnever back down.тАЭ Nor should we
Thx for this reminder!
Your last sentence is a most important one. S--w the polls, and remember the crock of s--t that the NYT sold voters in 2016 along with complacency about HRC having the election in the bag. We can relax after the election is settled. We know what is at stake and we don't need to be distracted by corporate media infotainment or partisan antics. Get the most important job needed done.
keep playing like we are 10 points behind.
Yes! The secret of success!
I agree! Brian Tyler Cohen keeps saying to continue to work as though Trump was up by 20%.
Like in 2016, if the polls say Biden is statically going to win, we're screwed.
Everyone needs to vote to keep CFDT from being reelected.
Quadruple!
ЁЯй╡ЁЯТЩЁЯй╡ЁЯТЩ
Double, triple, need a homer
ЁЯСПЁЯП╗ЁЯСПЁЯП╗ЁЯСПЁЯП╗ЁЯТкЁЯП╗
Wrong again TC in la la land